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I don't do chances because everything is absolute crapshoot.
BUT I will tell you that if you get in Colgate and decide to go, be prepare for a MAJOR shock when it comes to the difficulty of the coursework. I also came from a great LAC with grade inflation and I was cruising in the courses during my first year. I know a couple of other transfers and needless to say, we haven't been too successful in seeing our old GPA again... ;( But the quality here is worth it. So think hard how much you want to be challenged- the curve in the chem department from what I've heard tends to average at C+/B-.
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