^ I agree with each of your points, but not your assessment of the letter as a whole.
Quote:
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But I seriously think this letter would lower your chances.
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I disagree with this. The point of the letter was simply to beg and to emphasize that he believed his numbers did not truly reflect him as student and an individual. Citing evidence would have made it seem like the OP was arguing with admissions officers.
This letter...
1) Shows that the OP really wants to go to this university.
2) Makes him stands out from the other applicants.
3) He sounds like he's telling the truth, and that's what matters here, I think. I don't want to nitpick at every detail because the details in this letter aren't as important as the meaning or the essence of the letter. If admissions officers share my perspective, then this should increase the OP's chances.
Either way, good luck.