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Somehow I find it hard to believe that every single rejected student at UCB/UCLA was in the top 12.5% of California seniors graduating that year.
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The University of California is designated for the top 12.5% of California.
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UCB: 21.4% admitted. Rejected: 38,075 students, all of whom were in the top 12.5% of graduating seniors in the state.
UCLA: 22.7% admitted. Rejected: 42,832 students, all of whom were in the top 12.5% of graduating seniors statewide.
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Berkeley's stats this year were especially competitive. For enrolled freshmen (not admitted), average UW GPA of 3.9, W of 4.4, median SAT score of 2060 (and this isn't superscored), 21% acceptance rate, 17% OOS acceptance rate. I daresay Berkeley is as selective, even in-state, as some top privates. Obviously not HYPSM, and of course its admissions process is different (emphasizing different things) from some other top schools. If anyone uses Berkeley (and to a slightly lesser extent UCLA) as a safety, they're being a bit arrogant/too optimistic about their chances with colleges and need to re-evaluate their college list. Sure, someone with a perfect score/GPA/excellent ECs might consider them safeties, but the fact is, some schools just should not be safeties. Those same students might consider JHU or ND safeties, but just because certain students are overqualified for a school doesn't mean that school
should be considered a safety.
Funnily enough, I saw many, many students on CC who considered Berkeley/UCLA their safeties, and they ended up getting rejected from top privates. Now they're going to their "safety."