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There is no way to predict if your son will get in or not at this point. The competition is fierce and you are correct on the medical. It's a wild card you can not control and may be a surprise show stopper in the process.
Your son should have multiple backup plans. These could include other Academys, private military schools ( Norwich, VMI, etc..) ROTC at other schools etc. The list of possiblities is long. Go after any and all scholorships. He can always say no in the spring.
Lastly even if your son gets a LOA and is passed by medical he has to sign and return a letter of acceptance. It's the final reality check for an 18 year old, do I really want this and I accept the life style change this will bring. Most say yes but some do say no.
Backup plans are a must at this point.
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