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Hunt, that is statistically true, but the question is: For a given applicant, assuming he/she is competitive but not attractive enough to get in SCEA, would it be better to be seen as:
1) this is a strong student who did not stand out in a pool (EA) of very strong students,
or
2) this is a strong student who stands out in a pool (RD) of not very strong students.
It would help to know the exact process by which the deferred students get re-evaluated. Are their applications simply mixed in with the regular decision pool, to be given a completely fresh look in the RD round, or are they considered in a different, more abbreviated way, after the RD applicants been completely evaluated?
One way I imagine the process could work would be to first go through the RD applicants and also classify them into three pools- accept, reject, and 'maybe'- and then take all the RD 'maybe' applicants and mix them up with those who were deferred in the early round, to make the final selection on an equal footing.
But that is just my conjecture...is that how it really works?
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