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The criteria that I've been hearing for the last few years is that you must prove you can graduate at least two quarters earlier if you transfer colleges.
The fault that I'm finding with the finish-in-four idea is that somebody would change their major just to claim the "I can't graduate on time," get their transfer granted, then revert back to the original major. Some majors, assuming the student enters with zero transfer credits, just aren't designed to be completed in four years with sanity intact.
But of course, all this is hearsay. The UCSD administration doesn't exactly applaud transferring between colleges (because Revelle would be loads nerdier than it already is), so I don't think they publish any "guaranteed" reasons for transferring.
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