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With the bleak appearance of this housing stuff it seems like a might as well put Asian American Studies 20A on my course selection form.
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I've said it before and I'll say it again: I don't think your chances of getting housing is bleak. Last year 250 out of 650 were initially offered dorms, and more spots opened up later on. The years before that almost every FPF student got dorms. Berkeley may have adjusted and made more housing available this year, but no one knows, so you can't really say what your chances of getting housing are. Just wait and see.
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when you say housing for fpf students is by lottery AND location, does one factor outweigh the other? for example, since i am from ny, am i automatically guaranteed housing since ny is really far from ca? or do i still go through the lottery system?
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Yeah, location definitely outweighs the lottery system. However, those who live far away still have to go through the lottery system to see if they get their first choice of dorms, etc. Also, I wouldn't say you are guaranteed housing, but your chances are good. The trend I see is that those who live farther away tend to get housing. I know this girl who's from Texas though, who didn't get housing. So, I'm not exactly sure how they decide who gets housing or not either.
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so if u dont end up getting housing and u have to live in a off campus dorm how are they? does the social atmosphere suck at those?
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You have several options which I mentioned in this thread already, apartments, theme housing, etc. Theme housing is just like dorms. Apartments are definitely less social. However, there are many other places to be social besides just the dorms. I know people who live in the dorms and know maybe a handful of people in the building. It's because they don't put in the effort to be social. So it depends on how much you try more than your living environment, although if you are social then the dorms simply make it easier for you to meet people.