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I think Flippy has your chances about right. None of them seems to be exactly a safety tho. Do you have some?
With the details of the TV show I don't know how impressive it is- make sure you provide evidence that someone actually watched the show or that it made some sort of impact on the community, or at least on yourself. Maybe you can talk about how you grew from it. Piano and trumpet with prizes etc are important too, esp if you are gifted enough to send CDs.
Problem with these chances threads is that essays and recommendations cannot be evaluated.
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