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There was a girl on this forum (Frecklybeckly, if I remember correctly), who's brother was accepted to HYP, while she was rejected by all 3. She sounded like a wonderful girl, and it was so sad to read her posts, as her brother's acceptances and her rejections were coming in... She ended up at U Mich, became spectacularly successful, (got a lead role in a musical as a freshman, had a research paper published, etc) -- so at the end she was very happy that she ended up where she did.
It is hard to follow a "successful sibling" or have a "successful" twin. And no matter what you say, it'll sting if the younger one is rejected by the schools the older one was accepted to. You can say that admissions became more competitive. You can say that they are not competing with each other. You can say that colleges are looking for specific characteristics, and maybe this year there are too many students with "her" profile. The key is for her to be sure that you are not disappointed in her, that you don't think that the sibling is "better" or "smarter". Without diminishing his accomplishments, you can probably say that he was lucky, and many students just like him were rejected by the same schools.
At the end it will all work out.
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