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Well, it's hard to say because at my school, the Colgate acceptances have been inconsistent. Last year, my good friend's brother, who had a 94-95% GPA (which gave him a pretty nice class rank) and high 1300's on the SAT, tons of EC's (leadership, sports, and clubs) and a pretty awesome essay applied and was rejected. Not even waitlisted. But then this year, our student council president applied. I'm not sure about her test scores, but I know that her GPA wasn't even good enough to get her into the National Honor Society, so it couldn't have been great. She didn't play any sports and other than student council, had very little ECs or anything unique about her.
The difference? I think that Mike (the first person) applied regular decision, and Lauren (the second person) applied ED. So go with ED, because obviously it helps immensely.
Good luck, Colgate is a pretty sweet school :-)
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