Here's a hypothetical:
-2200 SAT
-3.4 GPA w/upward trend
-Went to state/national championships in track
-6 aps, some self studied
-Few clubs
-semi-competitive high school (Probably at least 1 to an ivy a year)
What would the chances be at a school like USC, out of state...
That's what I am hoping to be, I had a really bad 8th grade year (I was in high school class :facepalm

, freshman year, and beginning of sophomore but been doing amazing since. I am going to nationals in track this winter (3/4 people from our relay returned from last year, I am the next guy by a long shot), and HOPE to go to states by senior year (yes it's easier to go to nationals than states, since states is only the best 2 relays, when we have about 4 or so of the top 50 relays teams in the state in one small county).