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@doschicos - your school uses 3 years of data. Ours has 5. I suggest it's a factor of class size. With only 70 graduates per year and a desire to maintain anonymity, there are still several colleges that we have no scattergrams for.Again, I'm one of these research junkies and reviewed and collected a lot of data from many sites before my oldest went to college and then reviewed how it faired after his and his closest peers acceptances. And Naviance was basically spot on. This was consistent with what local parents of older kids had told us to, to trust Naviance. With my oldest, who was way above the mean on leadership EC's, you could basically give him a 0.15 weighted GPA bump over whatever the average acceptance dataset was for his school in Naviance and perfectly predict where he was accepted. We knew his EC's would be a bump and if I had predicted beforehand I would have guessed at least 0.1, so it wasn't far off. The net result is by using Naviance to determine what was Reach vs. Match vs. Safety, he got into all his Matches and Safeties and a couple of the nearer Reaches.
Mileage will vary dramatically from school to school depending on the size of the school, how good the school is at getting full participation in the data (our school is excellent at that -- it's basically compulsory), how many years of recent data and whether the schools you are looking at our common choices or unusual for your school. But for schools with good data, it would be a mistake to dismiss it as no better than the national stats. Orders of magnitude better for some.