You might be too conservative, BlueBayou. It might be 94%.
And the soft factors come into play when the admissions committees are comparing candidates who all have the same GPA/LSAT. Soft factors are everything from school, major, recommendations, personal statement, resume, geographic diversity, etc.
Many years ago there was someone on CC who actually claimed to have worked on an admissions committee. We can only base opinions on the admissions profile sites, school admissions profiles when posted, various forums, personal experience if applicable and all of the books on getting into law school.
Take it for what it's worth, but if your GPA or below the school's 25%, the best personal story in the world is unlikely to make any difference at all. If you're at the 75% mark, you stand a better-than-even chance of getting admitted and even getting some money. If you're a splitter or a URM, the chances look a little different. If you have something hinky on your application or a truly awful personal statement, you might get rejected even if you're at the 75% mark. Lawschoolnumbers and the other predictor sites are accurate.
I should note that my kid felt that many schools were disingenuous when he was applying. He went to law school conferences where admissions officers talked to applicants, and got a lot of encouragement to apply based on his soft factors & record. He also visited 2-3 schools before applying (should have waited), and received the same encouragement. At the end of the day, his soft-factors may have gotten him on a few waitlists... but then the waitlists filled slots based on GPA/LSAT so it didn't make a huge difference.
My kid met with one Dean of Admissions of a school where he was on the wait-list. That Dean joked around with my kid, and at one point told him a story about a kid who visited and called the school repeatedly and was rejected since everyone in the admissions office hated him. Take that story for what it's worth, too.
At the end of the day, it's not a lot different from the college admissions process.
Last edited by Neonzeus; 11-16-2012 at 05:29 AM.