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Princeton University
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Princeton, New Jersey 08544-0070
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Old 03-17-2012, 12:56 AM   #16
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Quote:
Guys, I think we're forgetting about nonresponse bias;
Not everyone on CC reports whether they got in or not.

Perhaps people who got in are more likely to say that they did?
This would certainly skew the sample statistic...
Exactly. xabsox wins.
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Old 03-17-2012, 01:25 AM   #17
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Quote:
Guys, I think we're forgetting about nonresponse bias;
Not everyone on CC reports whether they got in or not.

Perhaps people who got in are more likely to say that they did?
This would certainly skew the sample statistic...
You are right in that the people who post are self selected on two levels. First, not many princeton applicants are members of college confidential. Second, even those who are members, may not post, depending on their decision.

However, you are kind of missing the point. My main question is, what do you think the percentage accepted will be for those on CC? Obviously this isn't representative of the entire population of princeton applicants, however this statistic is relatively useful. It can gauge the degree of difficulty for the non-hooked applicant.

For example. MIT had roughly a ~22% CC RD acceptance rate. If you read through the results thread, you will notice that it was a blood bath and that many highly qualified candidates were rejected.

However, if you read through the Princeton SCEA thread, there weren't that many highly qualified candidates deferred. Sure there were some, but that vast majority of 2300+, high gpa, good SATII's were accepted. Hence CC had a 56% acceptance rate.

Am I making sense?
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Old 03-18-2012, 02:05 AM   #18
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^ You're making sense on a level, yes, but you seem to imply that the CC population is comprised entirely/mainly of 2300+, high gpa and good SAT II applicants. Either way, I think that predicting a RD acceptance yield from such limited data and bias is a futile attempt at measuring our chances.
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Old 03-18-2012, 01:50 PM   #19
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To the OP

I think that your numbers don't really reflect much of anything. If you look at the thread that simply lists EA acceptances/deferrals/rejections, you'll see that approximately 31 kids reported deferrals, approximately 12 were accepted and 3 were rejected. It appears that a number of the deferred students didn't want to report their stats, because they haven't posted on the results thread.

And I venture to say that a number of rejected/deferred candidates simply didn't post anything about their decisions at all, whereas accepted students were more inclined to post something.
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Old 03-19-2012, 06:45 AM   #20
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The OP appears to be a Princeton/MIT/Yale applicant. I sure hope he didn't ask his statistics or sociology teacher for a rec letter. His/Her analytical skills seem lacking...

(well, he/she had a huge meltdown after hearing MIT rejected him/her -- mega rant over there --- yeech)
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Old 03-19-2012, 07:05 PM   #21
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[quick](well, he/she had a huge meltdown after hearing MIT rejected him/her -- mega rant over there --- yeech) [/quote]

Yikes, big time meltdown

As a Princeton alumnus, this is one kid I would not like to attend Princeton....good luck Yale.
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Old 03-19-2012, 11:15 PM   #22
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Agree fully with T26E4 and JamieBrown! The admission process worked at MIT! They rejected this candidate who is obviously not emotionally/mentally capable.
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Old 03-20-2012, 06:30 AM   #23
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Jaime: that's why I initially posted that I hoped the OP would get accepted at Pton. He already has a LL from my alma mater! Yikes!
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Old 03-20-2012, 04:07 PM   #24
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^^^oh...my.....Yeowwww!
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Old 03-20-2012, 10:13 PM   #25
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Op was just posting the cc "results thread" statistics. He reported what was reported on the thread in question. Therefore, I see nothing wrong with these statistics even though they are obviously skewed because if princeton really did have a 56% acceptance rate then why the heck didn't I apply!!! If you look at these types of results threads all over cc, people aways report the stats of who got accepted/deferred/rejectes. Op just went one step further and calculated averages of the people who posted.

I totally get what you guys mean though. I said I was going to post stats for my ed school but didn't after getting rejected lol too sad. And he did freak out on mit which isn't very good especially if adcoms actually do deduce identities from cc (which I doubt). But man he probably feels like **** after you guys all just ripped him. He never even said anything mean to deserve it especially if these statistics do suck and give false hope/bad info.
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