Guys, I think we're forgetting about nonresponse bias; |
Not everyone on CC reports whether they got in or not.
Perhaps people who got in are more likely to say that they did?
This would certainly skew the sample statistic...
You are right in that the people who post are self selected on two levels. First, not many princeton applicants are members of college confidential. Second, even those who are members, may not post, depending on their decision.
However, you are kind of missing the point. My main question is, what do you think the percentage accepted will be for those on CC? Obviously this isn't representative of the entire population of princeton applicants, however this statistic is relatively useful. It can gauge the degree of difficulty for the non-hooked applicant.
For example. MIT had roughly a ~22% CC RD acceptance rate. If you read through the results thread, you will notice that it was a blood bath and that many highly qualified candidates were rejected.
However, if you read through the Princeton SCEA thread, there weren't that many highly qualified candidates deferred. Sure there were some, but that vast majority of 2300+, high gpa, good SATII's were accepted. Hence CC had a 56% acceptance rate.
Am I making sense?