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By pure acceptance rates:
1. Wharton- Penn
2. Yale SCEA
3. Stanford SCEA
4. Harvard RD
5. Woodrow Wilson School- Princeton
(50%)*(~8%) = ~4%
This is not an accurate use of statistics because you are mixing up sample spaces. The sample space for all of the events except being accepted to the Woodrow Wilson School is kids applying to undergraduate programs, they can be fairly compared. The sample space for being accepted to the Woodrow Wilson School is sophomores already at Princeton.
I agree. When you apply for WWS as a current Princeton student, you're not competing against those who got into Harvard, or anyone else outside the WWS applicant pool for that matter. It's not that hard.
If you are looking purely at statistics and simplifying down to pure probabilities, then the comparison I used is valid (the probability of two independent events occurring is the product of their probabilities).
Sure it's not that hard... If you already got into Princeton. The applicant pool for WWS is obviously much more qualified than Harvard applicants - the entire applicant pool is composed of students who already were admitted to Princeton and believe they have a shot at getting into WWS.
If you are looking purely at statistics and simplifying down to pure probabilities, then the comparison I used is valid (the probability of two independent events occurring is the product of their probabilities). Of course it's not that simple though.
I agree that getting into WWS is not hard. But getting into Harvard, Stanford, Yale, etc. is even easier.