i think you got great stats, i think your chance is like everyone elses, however, many factors play a role in college app. ex. forgetting the deadlines, getting to know the adcom(and bribing them). so yeah, from an analytical point of view and from the mathematics perspective, if we take the derivative of your chance in 4th degree, and then divide that by your parents(2)+you(1), then we can mutiply in the chances of you forgetting to send in the app(0), that's one case or... we can take in to the account you got uber scores and have no life.
i would accurately say your chances is between 0% to 100%