Well here is the thing, you have a chance just as much as the next person will. You are simply trying to create options and that is how you must look at it. McIntire is a very competitive school to get into at UVA
So, don't be surprised if you do get in. But I question why students always say "is it worth applying." Well why not? Right?
You have a decent shot, but they do take very few transfers but who knows you may be apart of that very few. You need to build a case for why you need to attend McIntire and how you would be a good fit essentially.
If you have a better reason than the next guy, you should be good to go. I don't think being closer to home will be a strong enough reason honestly.
Just apply, but all across the board of your application you must be on topof everything.
If you don't get in, what other options do you have? I would say it's definitely not the best thing to do if you only have UVA as your option for next fall. I would say at least 3 maybe even 4 universities as an alternate to UVA....
That's my opinion. I hope it helps.
Send me a private message if you want to continue talking about this, I don't check this site as often as I used to but I'll get an email if you PM me. Good luck.