Your GPA and test scores indicate that you are a qualified applicant.
Beyond that, on one can say what chances you have because so much of the applications process is subjective. Yale will read everything in your file, paying close attention to your teacher recommendations, guidance counselor report and essays -- all items not included in your stats. And those items matter the most!
Listen to Jeffrey Brenzel: https://bigfuture.collegeboard.org/g...he-application
"The most important part of your application — bar none, no question, any college — is your high school transcript. Probably the next most important are your teacher recommendations, particularly if you're applying to any kind of selective college or university."
So, in a very real sense, your fate is your teacher's hands. Best of luck to you!