13% was the overall SCEA admission rate last year. As the compiler of the Yale SCEA statistics last year, I can say that
23% of the CC SCEA pledgers were admitted.
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/...24-post11.html
These were 128 posters who, in a thread much like this one, openly listed their SCEA application in advance of the decision. Moreover, they agreed to follow-up with their results, and 86% did so. My stats assumed that those who did not follow-up were not admittted.
I also tracked a wider group of SCEA applicants who included those above but also those who announced their SCEA results but were not signatories of the above list. Of these,
30% were admitted, but there is probably some biasing owing to the increased probability of successful admits motivated to publish their results after admission.
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/...00-post21.html
Based on this, you might expect roughly 25% of your list to be admitted.
For future reference, it would be useful if all of you on
this list would agree to post your results, too.