I'm a rising senior at an excellent public school, who is a rower at a top club, and has not made any unofficial or official visits yet. My top choice is Penn, and things with the coaches are going well. I have expressed to the coaches since May that I am very interested in Penn and that I will probably apply ED. Both the head and assistant have told me that my AI (Academic Index) is slightly higher than that of the average recruit, and that my 2k is in the recruitable range. The head coach is very friendly, and when we talked we really hit it off (but I'm worried that everyone feels that way because he is so nice), and a personal friend of his, a rowing Penn alumnus who is still very involved in Penn's rowing community, whom I know personally as well, spoke to him on my behalf. In early August the head coach offered me an official visit in mid-September before we had even made plans for an unofficial visit. How much should I read into this? When do coaches typically offer OVs? How many OVs get in (for crew)? What are my chances?
I'm 6'1 and 185 with a 6:34.0 2k
GPA: 3.38 unweighted (a 67 in CRS - the points on the AI scale)
SAT I: 720 CR 710 M 710 W (71 in CRS)
SAT II: 800 World History 760 U.S. History 660 Literature (78 or 74 if Lit included)
The friend who recommended me to the coach told me that anyone with a good 2k and an AI of 195 (out of 240) has a chance at Penn. I calculated my AI using the formula outlined in Hernadez' "A is for Admissions" and got 212 or 216 (depending on whether or not you include my third SAT II). I hope that this is enough, even if the adnission officers manually adjust my score down because of my GPA.