I always get a kick out of the kids asking the chances question and the responses. Here is something from the Penn State Admissions web site for Guidance Counselors that may assist you in answering that chances question, too:http://admissions.psu.edu/info/counselors/bubble_chart06.pdf
DISCLAIMER: This graph represents the academic credentials of students offered first-year, baccalaureate admission for fall 2006. Every admission year is different in terms of the number of students who apply and the credentials they present. Therefore, the graph should not be viewed as representing absolute cut off or minimum requirements for any campus. Admission decisions are based on both an academic evaluation and individual considerations.