Our up-front apologies for the long Qs. Parent of S. My S ready to apply this fall to Pre-Med UG route with a long term goal of MD. My S's SAT score is at 99th percentile in the nation. Bright, Flexible, and Tolerant kid. He wants to apply to those UG colleges that gives him the best MD chance. We understand, getting accepted to any elite school is a challenge. We have been reading these forums last 2 years. We get the overall picture of MD requirements (GPA, MCAT, ECs, Passion, Holistic-Approach, Read-The-Featured-Threads-1st, No-Magic-Bullet, No-Guarantees, Do-what-u-do-best, Answer-Depends-on-StudentSkillLevel, Go-2the-College-ThatGivesUBestChance, UG-CollegeName-is-notImportant etc., etc.). This question is related to Go-2the-College-ThatGivesUBestChance.
(1) In the link https://www.aamc.org/data/facts/applicantmatriculant/
look at the (1a) and (1b).
(1a) Table 20: MCAT Scores and GPAs for Applicants to U.S. Medical Schools by State of Legal Residence, 2012
(1b) Table 21: MCAT Scores and GPAs for Matriculants to U.S. Medical Schools by State of Legal Residence, 2012
Couldn't believe this stat of 40% acceptance to MD!!!. Only 45K applicants for 19K MD seats!! WoW. We thought most of the college freshmen (should be around million students) wants to do Pre-Med. How come, Only 45K ended up applying to MD. Which is the biggest reason for 45k? Is it?
(1c) College GPA > 3.7: Too hard to achieve?? OR
(1d) Scoring in MCAT > 30: Too hard?? OR
(1e) Kids changed their minds??
(2) Here is how we see, Science GPA from one college likely equates to other. We understand that no can say it correctly, but some pointers would be useful before applying to these colleges
HYP/Stanford : Greater than (3.5 GPA OR 60th percentile GPA)
Duke/JHU/MIT : Greater than (3.6 GPA OR 70th percentile GPA)
UNC/Davidson/WakeForest : Greater than (3.7 GPA OR 80th percentile GPA)
NC State Univ : Greater than (3.8 GPA OR 90th percentile GPA)
East Carolina Univ : Greater than (3.9 GPA OR 99th percentile GPA)
(3) Are we correct to assume that the above GPA #s are needed to have a good shot at MD.
(4) Are there any historical data that shows (Avg Science GPA OR Percentile GPA) of the graduated students from these colleges? For Ex: One of friend's S was a 4.0 GPA local public high school kid who went to Duke. Couldn't cross 3.4 GPA in Duke UG. Want to avoid making the same mistake. Basically we want to know the level of curve that is built into these college GPAs. OR is it safe to assume that the curve gets harder as we go up in the ladder ECU -> NCSU -> UNC/Davidson/WF -> Duke -> HYP.
(5) Are there any historical data that shows Avg GPA of the students of these colleges, who got enrolled into MD?
Thank you all for your patience, time and effort.