2021 Admissions Statistics

JBStillFlying
Mon, 10 Apr 2017 23:26:04 +0000

Joining the crack party:

Assume 600 admitted EDII at a 27% admit rate ===> 2,200 EDII applications (inclusive of those deferred from ED/EA).

Assume 400 admitted RD at a 2% admit rate ====> 20,000 RD applications (inclusive of those deferred from ED/EA).

We know that 1,200 were admitted EDI/EA out of a pool of 13,000.

We know that 2,200 (approximately) were admitted from a total pool of 28,000

Via subtraction, we know that 15,000 applied EDII/RD (NEW apps. Not deferreds).

Finally we know that approximately 800 were admitted EDI and 400 EA.

Assuming a 30% admit rate for EDI ===> 2,700 EDI applications (800 / .3) =====> 10,300 EA applications (13,000 - 2,700)

EA admit rate, then, is around 4% (400/10,300)

Using the “sanity check” of an “early admit rate” (i.e. EA/EDI/EDII) in the “teens”: (1,200+600) / (13,000 + X) = 13%-19%. X, in case I’ve lost you at this point, represents the number of outside EDII applications (i.e. those NOT deferred from Chicago EDI/EA).

Doing the math, it would appear that 1) X can’t be greater than 900 or less than 0. I could split the dif. but I don’t want to. I’ll keep the max: EDII apps from outside is 900. Therefore, 1,300 came from those UChciago EA/ED applications which were deferred and OPTED for EDII. (2,200 - 900). I repeat: 1,300 at minimum were UChicago deferreds.

We can then subtract from the 15,000 new EDII/RD applications the number 900 (representing new EDII’s) to arrive at 14,100 new RD applications. As there were 20,000 TOTAL in the RD pool, that means that 5,900 of those applications were deferred from EA/EDI (20,000 - 14,100).

To summarize (so far): Total deferreds from EA/ED went as follows: 1,300 to the EDII pool, and 5,900 to RD pool. Total deferreds, then, would be 7,200. In other words, 55% of the early pool was deferred. (7,200 / 13,000). The remainder of early applications were rejected and that number would be 13,000 - 1,200 - 7,200 = 4,600. (35%).

We know that the admit rate of ED/EA Deferreds in the RD round was around .5%. As there were 5,900 of those deferreds, that means that only 30 were admitted RD! (5,900 * .005).

Admit rate for new RD’s: (400 - 30) / (20,000 - 5,900) = 2.6%. Not much better than the overall 2% quoted.