A conceptual issue on admissions probability

gadad
Fri, 25 May 2007 17:38:45 +0000

Granted, your approximated odds at any one school will be a guesstimate, and may even be wildly off. But as long as you’re equally likely to guess below the theoetically “true” odds on one school as often as you guess above them on another, it probably wouldn’t matter. The idea is to calculate the point at which you can stop adding schools to your list in order to be reasonably sure that you get into at least one with which you can be satisfied. I read a post from a young lady a month or two ago who had applied to 28 schools. I can guarantee you that the point of diminishing returns occurs WAY before that!