A conceptual issue on admissions probability

hawkette
Fri, 25 May 2007 22:33:01 +0000

interesteddad nails it above. The universe you are competing in is beyond your control and you have no idea how you compare in the pool. As for the coin toss analogy, if you toss a coin nine times and nine times it comes up heads, on the 10th toss, the chance of heads or tails is still 50/50.