Admission Stats 2010--Read 'Em But Don't Weep

EricLG
Tue, 13 Apr 2010 01:56:14 +0000

53

Lets take Duke. The SAT range of admitted students is 1340 to 1530. (M+R) Thus if you have lets say a score of 1440 you believe that you should have an “average” chance of acceptance. (So if Duke admits 20% of all applicants then you have a 20% chance of admission)

No. The score distribution of the applicant group is not a mirror of the accepted group. If you knew that 20% of the applicants in the SAT 1340 - 1530 range were accepted, then your conclusion would be stronger.

So much for ‘the truth’