Analyzing Prediction Reliability

mnt328
Sun, 01 Nov 2009 20:06:28 +0000

As a good student aspiring to go to a great college, I was ecstatic to have found College Confidential for the wealth of information it provides regarding the application process.

As a Theory of Knowledge student (props to all you IBers out there), however, I was instantly aware of the truth flaws it represents: Chancers are, for the most part, college applicants themselves; the typical forum member is skewed toward the upper end of the applicant pool; people may simply be looking to boost their morale by tearing others down…

How do you determine the truth/validity/reliability of responses you get or see on Chance threads? Especially in regard to Ivy League schools and other colleges of that caliber… is someone who’s published three books, volunteered 1000+ hours, received a 2400 on the SAT, and founded a society for the mentally disabled really a “low reach” at Yale?

What criteria do you look for when you chance people? And how do you know what to believe when you read posts?