Chance Me for Certain Schools


  • US domestic
  • State/Location of residency: Greater Sacramento Region, CA
  • Type of high school *large public school
  • Gender/Race/Ethnicity Male/Asian
  • Other special factors None

Intended Major(s) Engineering, Applied Math, Applied Science

GPA, Rank, and Test Scores

  • Unweighted HS GPA: 3.91
  • Weighted HS GPA (incl. weighting system): 4.31 (AP is 5, some Honors 5, everything else 4)
  • College GPA (for transfers):
  • Class Rank: none
  • ACT/SAT Scores: 1450 SAT (800 math, 650 reading)

AP Statistics
AP US History
AP Euro
AP Physics 1
AP Spanish
Honors English 1/2
Honors Chemistry
Calculus III at community college

-Junior of the Year for a monthly math competition going throughout the year
-Good Teammate Award for my club swim team in 9th grade

-club swimming
-math club member/VP junior year
-CyberPatriots, made Nationals junior year
-math competitions: AMC, ARML, Mathletes (made AIME 10th/11th grade with a 7 on AIME this year)
-varsity swimmer in my high school team
-COSMOS this summer, AwesomeMath 9th/10th summer
-tutored one student

(Optionally, guess how strong these are and include any other relevant information or circumstances.)

Cost Constraints / Budget
(High school students: please get a budget from your parents and use the Net Price Calculators on the web sites of colleges of interest.)


Safety: FLC transfer to UC or CSULA, CSUS, SJSU
Target: UCD, UCI, UCSD, Cal Poly SLB
Reach: UCLA, UCB, MIT, Caltech

*MIT and Caltech I might apply EA

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Your test scores won’t matter In CA. To me your targets are stretches.

Add an Arizona, Arizona State, Oregon State sticking with the West Coast. Cheap, solid Honors opportunities and you’ll get in.

I don’t think so.

Acceptance rates to these schools for CA residents with Weighted HSGPA of over 4.20 were in 2020:
UCD: 87%
UCI: 57%
UCSD: 79%

Even some of the reaches may barely be so:

UCB: 42%
UCLA: 37%

@Gumbymom can help with this

With UC admissions being very unpredictable this year, I second the suggestion to add ASU or UofA; UIUC is popular with my California relatives; MIT/CalTech are very high reaches - your SAT-V score is below average for your demographic . My DS2 is in the same demographic and his score of 700-V was said to be relatively low by our college counselor, and HYPSM are not even on his list to begin with!

What are your UC GPA’s? Unweighted, Capped weighted and Fully weighted since HS weighting systems may be different.

Here is the 2020 admit data along with GPA ranges. Note that since all CSU’s and UC’s are test blind for the 2022 admission cycle, GPA will be far more important and Engineering STEM admit rates will be lower than posted.

2020 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:

UCB: 14%

UCLA: 8%

UCSD: 39%

UCSB: 40%

UCD: 55%

UCI: 38%

UCSC: 82%

UCR: 90%

UCM: 97%

2020 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 4.20 or above capped weighted and not major specific:

UCB: 37%

UCLA: 38%

UCSD: 78%

UCSB: 81%

UCD: 86%

UCI: 60%

UCSC: 92%

UCR: 97%

UCM: 98%

2020 UC capped weighted GPA averages along with 25th-75th percentile range:

UCB: 4.22 (4.13-4.30)

UCLA: 4.25 (4.18-4.31)

UCSD: 4.16 (4.04-4.28)

UCSB: 4.15 (4.03-4.27)

UCI: 4.11 (3.96-4.26)

UCD: 4.11 (3.97-4.25)

UCSC: 3.94 (3.71-4.16)

UCR: 3.88 (3.65-4.11)

UCM: 3.68 (3.40-3.96)

I think you have gauged your chances pretty well but it will also depend upon which Engineering you are targeting. Applied Math is in the College of Letters and Sciences which does not admit by major but most Engineering is admit by major.

For Cal Poly SLO, Engineering admits rates vary. Ie. ME has around a 16% projected acceptance rate, Civil around a 38% acceptance rate, so SLO could be a target or a Reach school.

SJSU uses an impaction index to determine major thresholds. Here is the calculation for 2021 and the major thresholds. Impaction | Admissions

I would put UCSD as a high target for Engineering but a target for Applied Math and Science.

Best of luck and you are a competitive applicant.

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