College Chance Calculators

RichInPitt
Sun, 10 Nov 2019 21:48:51 +0000

I’d say they are relatively accurate in aggregate, but I don’t think individual percentages mean much.

MIT, for example, provides acceptance percentages by tier for several tests and GPAs. So given a GPA and test scores, it can probably calculate a somewhat accurate aggregate percentage.

But what does this mean? You have high stats, so rather than a 7% chance, you have a 15% chance. So?

There’s no way to factor in all of the other components that go into admissions. If you have those test scores but no ECs, poor essays, etc., probably not a 15% chance. If you have those numbers, have two IMO Gold Medals, great essays, and parents/grandparents as alumni, you’re probably a bit higher than 15%.

It just tells you the overall rate of the entire spectrum of students with just those 2-3 data points you put in.