True admission rate

fallenchemist
Fri, 06 Jun 2014 14:27:02 +0000

I think the question is unanswerable in any case. I do understand what you are getting at. Why count an application from the clueless student with a 2.9 GPA, no AP courses, and a 1650 SAT total. But those are fairly few, I feel sure. For the rest, how do you really define those that have “little or no chance”? I agree with @xFirefirex. I look at that chart and the vast majority of the dots are in a region where some people got accepted. Only a few total outliers.

I think what you really want to know, perhaps, is what percentage of students with certain statistics still got denied. You could (well, Harvard could) create a chart that basically broke acceptance rate down by GPA and test scores by 0.1 range for GPA (UW) like 3.9-4.0, 3.8-3.899, etc. and 2350-2400, 2300-2349, etc. and then again by overlapping those categories and you could then see more easily what percentage of “qualified students”, at least based on stats, did and didn’t get offers. I suspect that if you looked generally at the group of students that had both SAT above 2300 and GPA above 3.8, the acceptance rate would still be no better than about 10-12%. Just a semi-wild guess of course.