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UNC does not have the time or interest in second-guessing one's motives for applying. The rumor about rejecting top applicants because UNC was their safety is silly and needs to be retired. Perhaps there were too many 3.9 GPAs with perfect SATs that had the same ECs, maybe a top applicant that considered UNC a safety had a sloppy, last minute essay. For those who are out of state, your admissions chances are roughly 20%-lots of bright kids who want the cheaper than ivies but good that Carolina has apply there.