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Click Here and Get Epic Chanced

PhilovitistPhilovitist Registered User Posts: 2,739 Senior Member
edited June 2013 in What Are My Chances?
No need to make such a big deal about it. I just need...

UW GPA
W GPA
Max possible gpa at your school
each sat score
each act score
psat if you have it
national merit status (probably best to predict)
number of ap exams offerred by school
gender, race, state, citizenship,
if you received community assistance
class rank and class size
high school type
ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year)
sat subject test scores
ib test scores if you do that
if you'rs famous
primary languagw at home
if you've ever been suspended or anything
if your family is famous
family income
each parent's educgion level
ec load
athletics load
level of hardship
essay quality and if you're getting help
high school dfficulty/quality
scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?)
leadership

List me your schools and how much you want them (first choice list, second choices...nth choices, safeties). I can calculate your chances of getting into one of a specific pool of schools.

Also, promise to report to me where you eventually get in.

Put in all this work, and I won't disappoint you.
Post edited by Philovitist on
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Replies to: Click Here and Get Epic Chanced

  • kypdurronkypdurron Registered User Posts: 2,247 Senior Member
    UW: 1.34
    W: 4.7/5.5
    ACT: Reading:31 Math: 36 Science:24 English: 18 (writng):11
    NMSF: Commended
    APs: French Lit, Computer Sci AB, APUSH (all 3)
    gender: male
    Race: Mutt
    Family Tuition: IDK, I ran away from home at age 3
    Famous: My Grandfather was a suicide bomber and my brother inspired 2 Law and order SVU episodes

    ecs: Work at Brothel, Janitor for Playboy Manision
    Essay: I paid off a guy who was admitted to Cornell Last year
    Leadership: Senior Assosiate at Jamie's Prime Brothel, Student Council rebellion leader

    Safteys: Upenn Wharton
    Middle: MiddleBurry, Vassar, Smith,
    Reach: Ole Miss



    CHANCE ME!!!!!










    Thanks Philo
  • PhilovitistPhilovitist Registered User Posts: 2,739 Senior Member
    i need your superscore act, too

    and confirmation that you arent **** ^_^

    though even if you are im chancing you
  • alexissssalexissss Registered User Posts: 2,177 Senior Member
    Omg u srs?
  • Nj2015erNj2015er Registered User Posts: 64 Junior Member
    ^Seriously?

    Anyway, chance me as well as you can. I'm a sophomore, so most of these are projected, but I'll make a note of what is projected vs. actual statistics.

    No need to make such a big deal about it. I just need...

    UW GPA: Freshman Yr (3.42), Sophomore Year (3.75-3.82, sorry for the range), Junior Year (3.82/projected)
    W GPA: Our school doesn't weight GPA's, but it would be very high, as I take all honors and AP's.
    Max possible gpa at your school: 4.0
    each sat score: N/A, 208 PSAT score if that carries any weight, but I'm not taking the SAT.
    each act score: 35 (I took it in February, this is an actual number, not projected)
    (36 Science/36 Writing/35 Math/32 Reading/11 Writing)
    psat if you have it: 208
    national merit status (probably best to predict): IDK but probably not a finalist if at all.
    number of ap exams offerred by school: 13
    gender, race, state, citizenship: Male, White, NJ, U.S. Citizen
    if you received community assistance: Nope.
    class rank and class size: 125 and no class rank; around 18-20th percentile (projected)
    high school type: Excellent private, about half of students attend top 60 universities and colleges. (14.5% Ivy)
    ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year): AP European History (5/Projected), AP Psychology (4/Projected), AP Lit (5/Projected), AP U.S. History (5/Projected)
    sat subject test scores: 800 Chemistry, will take U.S. History as well (and maybe Math). I'd assume similar scores on those (high 700's most likely)
    ib test scores if you do that: N/A
    if you'rs famous: Nope.
    primary languagw at home: English
    if you've ever been suspended or anything: Nope.
    if your family is famous: Nope.
    family income: 100K-200K
    each parent's educgion level: Father, MBA from Stern; Mother, Masters from CMU
    ec load: 3 clubs, JV tennis (captain this year, prob Varsity next yr); lots of meaningful community service and had a room named after me (150 hours so far); I teach tennis at a certified D1 Facility (a very prestigious facility)
    athletics load: Tennis
    level of hardship: Ehh... Negligible.
    essay quality and if you're getting help: Excellent, no help (English is probably my best subject)
    high school dfficulty/quality: Excellent, one of the best in the state.
    scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?): Um... not sure how to answer this. But my school is full of very smart people and I consider myself to be one of the smarter ones.
    leadership: Not much yet, but will be VP of Ethics Bowl next yr and am the JV Tennis captain. Will be more later.

    An added note: My dad was battling cancer during my freshman year- that's why my GPA was so low (relatively). Not sure if this matters, but I just wanted to put it out there.

    List me your schools and how much you want them (first choice list, second choices...nth choices, safeties). I can calculate your chances of getting into one of a specific pool of schools.

    University of Chicago (my dream school, probably won't happen)
    Cornell
    Wash U (Olin)
    Carnegie Mellon (Tepper)
    NYU (Stern)
    U Mich (Ross)
    Boston College
    Emory
    Rice
    Brandeis

    Safeties:
    U Maryland- College Park
    Tulane
    Syracuse

    Thanks for doing this. :)
  • PhilovitistPhilovitist Registered User Posts: 2,739 Senior Member
    YES. And when I'm done, I'll write a rebuttal of gibby's thesis that chancing is impossible.
  • fredferd1995fredferd1995 Registered User Posts: 24 New Member
    No need to make such a big deal about it. I just need...

    UW GPA 3.79
    W GPA 4.07
    Max possible gpa at your school 4.7
    each sat score 2070 (710w, 700m, 660 cr)
    Math 2: 760
    Mbio : 720
    each act score 33 composite, 36 s, 29 m, 34 w, 31
    number of ap exams offerred by school: 12ish
    gender, race, state, citizenship, :white , male, CA, us
    class rank and class size: applied at 28 of 400, now am 19 of 398
    high school type: public
    ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year)
    Calc ab: 3
    APUSH: 4
    Aplang: 5
    Apchem: 4-5
    Apbio: 5
    Calc bc: 3-5
    Apgopo: 5
    if you'rs famous: nope!
    primary languagw at home: English
    if you've ever been suspended or anything: nope
    if your family is famous: nope
    family income: >100k
    each parent's educgion level: dad has a masters in kinesiology, mom was a safety engineer( 4 yr uni)
    ec load: band for 4 years, marching band 4 years, drumline 4 years, band leadership 2 years, 3 leadership titles senior year
    athletics load: none
    level of hardship: colorblind? So none haha
    essay quality and if you're getting help: good-very good, no help
    high school dfficulty/quality: 860-890 API so pretty good/ difficult
    scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?)mostly a's, 4b's, 1 c
    leadership
    Band Coucil, Sax section Leader, drumline captain
    List me your schools and how much you want them (first choice list, second choices...nth choices, safeties). I can calculate your chances of getting into one of a specific pool of schools.
    UCLA( letters and sciences)
    UCSD( molecular bio)
  • PhilovitistPhilovitist Registered User Posts: 2,739 Senior Member
    Very cool. for nj2015er

    List me your schools and how much you want them (first choice list, second choices...nth choices, safeties). I can calculate your chances of getting into one of a specific pool of schools.

    University of Chicago (my dream school, probably won't happen) - 25%
    Cornell - 37%
    Wash U (Olin) - 45%
    Carnegie Mellon (Tepper) - 69%
    NYU (Stern) - 86%
    U Mich (Ross) - 91%
    Boston College - 80%
    Emory - 59%
    Rice - 47%
    Brandeis - 91%

    Safeties:
    U Maryland- College Park - 99%
    Tulane - 96%
    Syracuse - 94%

    So, I'm assuming that these are ranked by preference. If they aren't, grrr.

    I'm making this Python program (for fun more than anything) to help you use numbers like these (i.e., these, or numbers you conjecture or obtain from other sources) to predict your chance of getting into at least one of a certain pool of schools. I'll use it to make all of this easier.

    First time writing a program to do something actually useful. Woo. There are a lot of ways I could do it and no matter what I choose, it probably won't look pretty. ^_^
  • Nj2015erNj2015er Registered User Posts: 64 Junior Member
    Thank you so much for taking the time to do this... it really means a lot.
  • gameofthrones1gameofthrones1 Registered User Posts: 68 Junior Member
    UW GPA: 4.0 high school
    W GPA: N/A
    Max possible gpa at your school: 4.0
    each sat score: 700 CR, 760 M, 730 W
    each act score
    psat if you have it
    national merit status (probably best to predict): N/A
    number of ap exams offerred by school: AP wasn't really offered, but I wrote 3
    gender, race, state, citizenship, : White male
    if you received community assistance: No
    class rank and class size: 2/370 (salutatorian)
    high school type: public
    ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year): 5 calc AB, 4 english lit
    sat subject test scores: 800 math 2, 780 physics, 760 english
    ib test scores if you do that
    if you'rs famous
    primary languagw at home: English
    if you've ever been suspended or anything: no
    if your family is famous
    family income: 140,000
    each parent's educgion level: some college for one, bachelor's degree for other
    ec load: committed to a few activities I've enjoyed for around a decade, founded a club
    athletics load
    level of hardship: low
    essay quality and if you're getting help: high
    high school dfficulty/quality: high
    scholarly talent (how do you perfom in class?): rank speaks for itself
    leadership: yes

    Chance me for all of the ivies, stanford, MIT please
  • PhilovitistPhilovitist Registered User Posts: 2,739 Senior Member
    Finished!
    #Chances at One
    #I made this Python program (for fun more than anything) to help you use numbers like these (i.e., these, or numbers you conjecture or obtain from other sources) to predict your chance of getting into at least one of a certain pool of schools. 
    #Enjoy, use at own risk, etc.
    
    #Creating a list of percent chances...
    #Determine pool size.
    poolsize = input("How many schools to be considered?: ")
    
    #Add each percentage chance into pool.
    pool = [0]
    for each in range(poolsize):
    	pool.append (input("Input chance of admission to a school in decimal form: "))
    del pool[0]
    print pool
    
    #Compute P(At Least One) with statistical formula P = 1 - ()
    keynum=1
    for each in pool:
    	keynum = keynum * (1-each)
    chance = 1 - keynum
    
    #Print it!
    print chance
    

    By worst to best chances on your list:

    Chicago or Cornell: 52.75%
    These above or Wash: 74.01%
    These above or Rice: 86.74%
    These above or Emory: 94.56%
    These above or Mellon: 98.31%

    Diminishing returns as you go. As you can see, you are extremely likely to get into at least one of the schools you are interested in if your behavior and your fortunes are like those with stats similar to yours in the past. You can't feel superconfident about getting into the top few 'hardest to get into' schools on your list, but you do have a good shot.

    Most prominent possible source of error:
    - inspecific to major (can't chance for Stern, just for NYU)


    Still for NJ dude. Please return someday to report your decisions — and only when you get all of them.
  • PhilovitistPhilovitist Registered User Posts: 2,739 Senior Member
    fredferd

    UCLA( letters and sciences) - 66%
    UCSD( molecular bio) - 77%
    Chance of getting into at least one of these: 92.18%
    Chances of getting into neither: 7.82%

    Good on you! Please post how it goes when it goes.


    I bet I could make the program so that it just extracts the numbers and makes a list for me. That would be rad.
  • fredferd1995fredferd1995 Registered User Posts: 24 New Member
    Awesome! Thanks!
  • jabrown2013jabrown2013 Registered User Posts: 172 Junior Member
    UW GPA: 95.25
    W GPA: N/A
    Max possible gpa at your school: 100
    each sat score: Not submitting
    each act score: 34C/35E/31M/34R/36S/10W (Superscore: 35C/35E/31M/36R/36S/10W)
    psat if you have it: N/A
    national merit status (probably best to predict): N/A
    number of ap exams offerred by school: 7
    gender, race, state, citizenship: Male, White, NY, US
    if you received community assistance: No
    class rank and class size: *School only ranks to decile* Top 10% of 300
    high school type: Public
    ap test scores (give me so far, and prospective by end of junior year): Calc AB (5), Bio (5), APUSH (4), English Lit.
    sat subject test scores: Math II - 750, Bio-M - 730. Will take more and improve, hoping for at least two with scores over 760
    ib test scores if you do that: N/A
    if you'rs famous: No
    primary language at home: English
    if you've ever been suspended or anything: Nope
    if your family is famous: No
    family income: 70k-80k
    each parent's educgion level: Mother - master's degree, Father - High school, Step-father - Associate's degree
    ec load: Not very good. A few internships (Northwestern Mutual & Biochem Lab), my job, a few clubs
    athletics load: Varsity Lacrosse
    level of hardship: Not too difficult
    essay quality and if you're getting help: Really good. Only grammatical help.
    high school dfficulty/quality: High school not very difficult and there are few AP options (even less of interest to me). By graduation I will have taken 7 Dual-enrollment classes - 3 at my school, and the other 4 at a local college campus. A's in everything except a dual-enrollment French class taken at school, in which I have Received a B.
    scholarly talent (how do you perform in class?): Very well
    leadership: None

    List of Schools (In levels of preference):

    Brown (ED)
    Wesleyan, Northwestern, Tufts
    Cornell
    Dartmouth, Williams
    Rice
  • PhilovitistPhilovitist Registered User Posts: 2,739 Senior Member
    And now...version 2.0 of the Chances at One Program. Now I can just c/p text and watch it go, rather than manually enter each unit. Woo.
    #Collect and ready data.
    data=raw_input("Input data (in percent): ")
    data = data.split("%")
    del data[-1]
    
    #Turn into organized list.
    pool = [0]
    for each in data:
    	pool.append (int(each[-2:]) / 100.0)
    del pool[0]
    print pool
    
    #Compute P(At Least One) with statistical formula P = 1 - ()
    keynum=1
    for each in pool:
    	keynum = keynum * (1-each)
    chance = 1 - keynum
    
    #Print it!
    print "The probability that you'll get into at least one of these schools is:", chance * 100, "percent"
    

    Next iteration should produce lots of different combinations from one set of data. It took me a good five minutes to prepare post 11. I'm going to reduce it to 5 seconds.
  • gameofthrones1gameofthrones1 Registered User Posts: 68 Junior Member
    Can you run it on me for economics? I posted above.
This discussion has been closed.