@IBstudent10001, I am afraid I do not know how to accurately “chance” a person. I look at posts like this in order to help brainstorm what could benefit from attention in the time leading up to the application, in my opinion, to strengthen the candidacy. This is simply a snapshot- how would I properly evaluate your full application from a simple snapshot? Plus, I do not do this for a living and do not know the current trends in how to evaluate a package, even if I had a full package, according to any institutional guidelines.
You seem to be on track with all your activities. I found myself wondering about the experience of traveling to Northern India for your service trip (how that developed you as a person), and wondering if you are competitive enough in football to try to be recruited. Certainly, the Division III schools like Caltech and MIT may be interested in you as an addition to their soccer team. The “Winner”, “Finalist”, and “Gold Award” impressed me.
You seem to be doing the right things, to me! Good luck!