Early Options

Hey everyone, so I’m applying to college this fall with many of you, my fellow peers. I visited multiple schools, and my favorites were Yale, UPenn, and Duke. My original plan after talking to my class of 2019 high school friends was to ED to Duke, which they say a student like me has a really good shot of getting in early. But in visiting these schools, I absolutely love UPenn and Yale as well. My dilemma now is do I want to go for that reach with Yale and jeopardize my chances of getting into either UPenn or Duke, or should I play it safe and apply to a UPenn or Duke? This question is mostly posed toward people who have been through this process before. Another thing. I really want to know what schools I will get into in the spring, but also want to have a “very high chance” of getting into a top school. Thanks.