<p>Your D is involved in a lot of ECs. What typically happens with students who are serious about their ECs and show leadership and passion is that junior and senior year, they drop some of their ECs in order to devote lots of attention to the ECs that they most care about. As they drop some ECs, they also may add some ECs reflecting new and/or deeper interests.</p>
<p>These tend to be the students who are most on track for top colleges, which look for students with leadership (meaning real leadership with results such as projects a student has initiated and coordinated, not just titles that are resume dressing only), not students who have laundry lists of ECs that they don’t have much time for.</p>
<p>Chance threads are a waste of time. No one except admissions officers could do that with any accuracy.</p>
<p>I agree with those who suggest making sure that your D is interested in a broad range of schools including safeties that you know she’d love and where she’d be fulfilled, and that you can afford. No matter how stellar a student is (and your D’s stats are stellar), all of the schools on your D’s list are reaches, so the odds are against her.</p>