2021 UC Admit Rates based on Capped Weighted UC GPA

UCI’s admit rates have been dropping overall for the past couple of years.

Too many CA kids, not enough UC slots.


Here it is in table format:

Campus 4.20+ 3.80-4.19 3.40-3.79 3.00-3.39
Berkeley 30% 11% 2% 1%
Davis 85% 55% 23% 10%
Irvine 60% 31% 14% 1%
Los Angeles 29% 6% 1% 0%
Merced 97% 98% 96% 89%
Riverside 97% 92% 62% 23%
San Diego 75% 35% 5% 1%
Santa Barbara 73% 28% 4% 1%
Santa Cruz 91% 81% 46% 9%

Numbers are from Freshman fall admissions summary | University of California


These numbers are undoubtedly true, but they are deceptive nonetheless because they don’t take into account your local context (ie your high school admission data). A better way to gauge your odds is to look at the recent 2021 admit data for your specific high school. You can get that information from this link and make sure to see the Freshman admission by GPA tab:


A bigger undisclosed factor is admission by division or major, which is done at many UCs for some majors (particularly popular ones like CS and engineering).

For some reason, UC is more transparent about transfer admission by major, as shown here (also updated for fall 2021 entrants): Transfers by major | University of California


Too many out of state and international kids. We should cap out of state enrollment like other states do.


The OOS and International applicant admits are capped at 18% currently.


Regarding the financial argument, I bet parents are willing to pay more tuition rather than send their kids out of state. Give same level of tuition and financial aid to deserving students in need, and for all the others raise tuition by $5K a year and it would still be a great deal compared to going out-of-state universities.


…but then you would lose the full pay kids. It’s all in the universities financial calculus.


I still think that’s too many. We have plenty of high stats students here that are shut out.


This is true, but since our tax dollars subsidize those schools, California kids should be prioritized. I think we should have a 10% cap for all of the competitive UCs. My D17 got waitlisted at 2 UCs, accepted to none. We were thrilled with her acceptance at Cal Poly slo. Oddly enough, she was accepted at UT Austin too which caps out of state at 10%.


They are prioritized, to the tune of 82%, are in state CA residents. Still not enough slots.

… at the campuses that many applicants limit themselves to. It is not like UCSC, UCR, and UCM are hyperselective, although that may be because many applicants exclude those campuses from their application lists.

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Very interesting. I assume that all the GPAs quoted in that document are median GPAs, not the minimum or maximum?

Not median, but average according to the footnotes. Here is what else the table notes say: “Mean high school and transfer GPA are presented for freshman and transfer applicants, admits, and enrollees respectively by source school.” The fact that they used the word mean, not median, is instructive.

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I would like to point out that the 82% cap for in-state students is in line and in fact a lot more than other state school caps for in state students. CA students have in fact much better options and ability to get into in state schools than most other states. When you look compare what you pay for public schools and how many kids get into public schools- CA is one of the best states to be in.

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The cap is on OOS students, not in-state students.

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3 UC campuses are well under the 18% OOS and International enrollment caps:
UC Merced enrolled 99.3% of CA residents
UC Riverside enrolled 94.6% of CA residents
UC Santa Cruz enrolled 91.8% of CA residents

Again, OOS/International acceptance rates may be higher than in-state CA acceptance rates but enrolled rates are very low for the majority of the campuses. Even UCLA had 14.6% of OOS enrolled for 2021 and UCB had 13.5% OOS enrolled.


Here is the UCB info: 73.2% are CA residents.


Some of the UC’s such as UCB/UCLA and UCSD were capped higher than 18%. The goal is to slowly reduce to 18% over the next few years.