I would just like to note that the College Board’s “Big Future” feature on each college really provides you with pretty much all the information you need to know in terms of stats to determine whether any particular college is a sensible place for you to apply. A good reach/match/safety approach really does not require any more specificity than that. If you want even more information, it’s often available for many colleges. But at the most selective colleges, the value of stats-based information declines as your stats increase. In other words, admission to the most selective schools becomes less predictable the higher your stats are–because for lower stats, rejection is pretty easy to predict.
We’ve had lots of discussions about whether colleges lead on no-hope applicants, such as by sending them slick brochures. But a kid, even an unhooked kid, with a 3.85 GPA (in a challenging curriculum) and SATs over 2100 can reasonably apply to any college in the land–if he’s got some good stuff in addition to stats. And the point is that an unhooked kid with a 4.0 and 2400 SAT still needs good stuff in addition to stats to get in to the most selective schools. Maybe a little less good stuff. But trying to quantify it doesn’t really help.