<p>Let’s don’t forget that college admission is rather an art than science - and the admission officers do have some sort of instincts based on their past experience (including follow-up data of each year’s admits). It’ll never be 100%, but should be much much better than 50/50 or random pickups as many on CC suggested/guessed. They do choose. That’s part of the reason why H (and other highly selective schools) has such a high graduation rate. I myself have seen quite a number of “local cases” and been on CC long enough trying to predict certain “chance me” possibilities (only based on the very limited info as posted) in the past a few years, and I’m happy to say the probability is far better than “not bad”. Just think about it - one doesn’t need to know everything about a composer or singer/musician to tell if his/her music is really good and original… And, what s/he self-claimed may not even relevant.</p>