Accuracy of College Aid Pro versus NPC

Not to belabor the point or start a debate, but this is what I’m really curious about - are the NPCs actually accurate and does MyCAP provide greater insight into what a family might actually receive in aid. There is at least one comment in another thread noting that their actual aid packages versus the NPC were all over the place. I’m not advocating using an unofficial third-party estimate as the number to argue with a college, but it would be nice to get a sense of what’s reality. One of the cardinal comments in these forums is that it’s a rejection if you can’t afford it even if you get in. It would be nice to not rule out colleges that appear unaffordable with an inaccurate NPC.