<p>I agree with most of what the previous post says except the part about being in-state. I think it is just the opposite. Out of state students are paying twice a much to the university and there is more of a financial incentive for them to accept and out-of-state over an in-state with similar grades and achievements. There is currently no cap on the amount of out-of-state student accepted and the number has been increasing. While there are obviously more in-state students than out-of-state, that is because there are significantly more in-state applications.
Overall, I would say you might be “on the bubble” right now. Our son had very similar gpa and SAT scores and was waitlisted. Many of his friends were rejected. This is at a highly competitive Fairfax county high school.</p>