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<p>I haven’t seen a thorough analysis of this, but a few points:</p>
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<li><p>Rates in Minnesota aren’t uniformly low. They’re extremely low in the Twin Cities where the bulk of the state’s residents and medical providers are, and where many insurers are competing for market share. Most analyses say this is a simple function of supply and demand, and old-fashioned healthy competition. In southeastern Minnesota where pretty much all health care goes through a single provider, the Mayo Clinic, and where only one insurer is offering policies on the exchange, rates are roughly 2 to 3 times the Twin Cities rate. Healthy competition = low cost, no competition = high cost.</p></li>
<li><p>Rates are also much higher in neighboring Wisconsin, despite a similar population, demographics, economy, etc. Some western Wisconsin counties are part of the Twin Cities metro area, but rates in the Wisconsin counties are roughly 2 to 3 times higher than in neighboring Minnesota counties (rates in some other parts of Wisconsin are somewhat more moderate, but on a statewide average basis Wisconsin rates are still significantly higher than Minnesota’s). That makes for a particularly interesting comparison. I’ve seen several explanations for this:</p></li>
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<p>a. Minnesota decided to continue its high-risk pool, at least as an interim measure; Wisconsin is terminating its high-risk pool immediately. That means many of the highest-need, highest-cost individuals are being thrown onto the exchange in Wisconsin, while in Minnesota most of those in the high-risk pool are expected to stay in the high-risk pool and off the exchange. Insurance rates in each state reflect insurers’ expectations as to how many of those high-cost unhealthy people they’ll need to pick up on the exchange. If Minnesota eventually terminates its high-risk pool, rates in Minnesota will rise. </p>
<p>b. Minnesota already covers a lot of low-income people (above the Medicaid-eligible level) through a state program known as MinnesotaCare; that program is continuing, and most of those people will stay in MinnesotaCare. Because of its expansive high-risk pool and MinnesotaCare, Minnesota has a much smaller pool of uninsured, unhealthy, low-income people going onto the exchange. That means in Minnesota insurers are competing for a generally healthier and somewhat wealthier customer base on the exchange, and the competitive rates reflect that.</p>
<p>c. Minnesota already had one of the lowest rates of uninsured in the nation, around 9% (compared to 16% nationally), and state officials estimate that 60% of the uninsured will qualify either for Medicaid or MinnesotaCare. State officials are aggressively recruiting uninsured Medicaid- or MinnesotaCare-eligible residents to sign up for those programs through the exchange or elsewhere. Again, that means the risk pool of those buying private insurance through the exchange is very different than that in many other states.</p>
<p><a href=“http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/11/09/comparing-health-care-law-minnesota-wisconsin/3465247/[/url]”>http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/11/09/comparing-health-care-law-minnesota-wisconsin/3465247/</a></p>