<p>I agree that chances threads are a waste of time, but I think that “crap shoot” suggests a far greater degree of randomness than the process actually contains. Instead of crap shoot I’d say there is a high degree of subjectivity - subjectivity that is impossible to assess on CC chances threads. You see two kids on CC both with stellar stats. One gets in and one doesn’t. Crap shoot, right? No, the one chosen was chosen for a reason. It’s just that we on the outside cannot see what the reason was. They probably liked that one’s essay a little better. His ECs may have been slightly more impressive. He may have appeared more authentic and less “packaged.” There are a whole host of reasons, many of them subjective, that might be used to distinguish between any given candidates.</p>