There is no way to really answer that question. Certainly you are a stronger applicant the higher your stats, but if you look at the results for schools on your list you will see students with perfect stats getting rejected places. Some times it’s yield protection, some times it’s just how the school is building their class that year.
I joined this board primarily because a friend of my D’s was shut out everywhere and ended up at the safety the guidance counselor made him add. My D’s school val with perfect stats and test scores (and I mean perfect) was wait listed at Michigan (and a smattering of rejections elsewhere too, including schools outside the T20). You just never know! That’s why many adults here stress to students to have a well balanced list.
I think it’s totally fine for your list to have mostly selective schools but you need one assured admission where you’d be happy to attend. Bonus points if it has rolling admission so you know early in the cycle and can relax a bit while you wait for the rest of the decisions.