<p>Here is why that is not going to happen. The situation you described is a bunch of hypothetical situations that will not occur. An increase in ED 1 applications does not mean that there will be huge increases in EDII or Regular Admissions and the admissions office knows that. That is the reason why there will not be a 5% drop. It would be nice to have another 5% drop but that is extremely unlikely and unprecedented for a university to drop 13% in its admit rate in a matter of 3 short years, let alone 10% decline in just two years.</p>