<p>I think there is every reason for optimism. According to the links given here <a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1061427249-post20.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1061427249-post20.html</a>, deferred admissions typically run ahead of “normal” RD admissions (some posters here have denied this). And, as has been pointed out, this year’s deferred pool is probably stronger than past ones as there are about 50-100 applicants in it who would usually have been in the SCEA group and more applicants removed from it than usual who have already been denied.</p>
<p>It should also be remembered that, in addition to a probable statistical edge over the average RD applicant, the average deferred applicant has already demonstrated a relatively high degree of interest in Yale which could be beneficial to admissions chances. In this regard it cannot hurt your chances to continue demonstrating that this initial interest is undiminished.</p>
<p>Of course, ultimately selection rate will depend on the number of applicants in the RD pool. We do not yet know how large this will be.</p>