By the way, ideally the OP would have similar data (or the counselor does). Like, personally, if in the past people with similar grades/rigor/ranking had been competitive for this college, I would not worry about someone who was further above that range getting admitted ED 1. Of course they did, but I really do doubt most colleges would view that as important when evaluating ED 2 and RD applicants.
But if few if any people in that range have been admitted, I personally would not count on ED 2 changing that barring truly unusual circumstances. But it wouldn’t be the ED 1 admit that was the problem, it would be that sort of historical pattern suggesting how this college was evaluating applicants from that school.