Going ED really improves your chances, I believe. But I don’t think any of your schools are extremely likely, apart from Binghamton and RPI.
Personally, I’d be looking to add some “likely”(or at least, likelier) schools to your list. These are all strong schools academically that seem as though they might have some similarities to other schools on your list.
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College of Wooster (OH): About 2k undergrads. One of the colleges that has a chemical physics major, but also robust chemistry and physics offerings.
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Brandeis (MA): About 3600 undergrads
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Bucknell (PA ): About 3700 undergrads
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Butler (IN): About 4700 undergrads…and its location is prime if a career in pharmaceuticals is of interest.
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Case Western (OH): About 5800 undergrads. Show a lot of interest if you are wanting an acceptance.
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Clark (MA): About 2300 undergrads
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Clarkson (NY): About 2900 undergrads
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College of the Holy Cross (MA): About 3k undergrads. Its admissions rate has been dropping significantly over the last couple of years.
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Dickinson (PA ): About 2200 undergrads
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Franklin & Marshall (PA ): About 2100 undergrads
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Gettysburg (PA ): About 2400 undergrads
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Gustavus Adolphus (MN): About 2300 undergrads
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Lehigh (PA ): About 5500 undergrads
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Skidmore (NY): About 2700 undergrads
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St. Olaf (MN): About 3k undergrads
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SUNY Geneseo (NY): About 4500 undergrads…which seems to be more aligned in size than Binghamton with the rest of your list
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Union (NY): About 2100 undergrads
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U. of Richmond (VA): About 3200 undergrads
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U. of Rochester (NY): About 6600 undergrads
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Worcester Polytechnic (MA): About 5200 undergrads