Below are the overall UC admit rates based on Residency. I would put UC Merced as a Likely and Riverside as a Match. The UC’s are test blind but you can aim higher than UCM or UCR as long as being full pay at around $72K/year is affordable. UCD could be a target and UCSD probably a Reach.
I also have the 2022 CS admit rates by campus listed.
2022 Freshman admit rates
Campus | CA RESIDENT | OUT OF STATE | INTERNATIONAL |
---|---|---|---|
Berkeley | 14.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
Davis | 32.3% | 59.8% | 43% |
Irvine | 18.2% | 36.6% | 21% |
Los Angeles | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
Merced | 100% | 78.6% | 81.7% |
Riverside | 66% | 88.1% | 68.% |
San Diego | 23.8% | 31.5% | 15.5% |
Santa Barbara | 26.7% | 28.8% | 19.7% |
Santa Cruz | 43.2% | 70.7% | 55.4% |
CS admit rates if available
Campus | CS | |
---|---|---|
Berkeley | 2.9%-L&S EECS-4.5% | |
Davis | No data but <20% | |
Irvine | 5.8% | |
Los Angeles | 3.8% | |
Merced | 85% | |
Riverside | 36% | |
San Diego | No data but <10% | |
Santa Barbara | No data but around 5-6% | |
Santa Cruz | 60% |
I agree with @DadOfJerseyGirl that the UC’s are not worth the OOS costs unless you have an unlimited budget. Plenty of wonderful schools that would love your exceptional SAT score and offer merit.