Did your counselor tell you that information?
If so then it is likely valid, as they know the pool you are in . Though you should clarify what they mean by “decent” shot.
Those schools have ED so in general there is more boost for ED vs Regular than REA for Regular, but all are typically reaches for the majority of applicants. Unless you are in the top X% rank-wise in a school that sends on average significantly more than X% to a certain group of schools.