You are an accomplished and very qualified applicant but so are many of the applicants to these schools. Your EC’s are excellent and you need to spend plenty of time perfecting your essays to help you stand out.
The UC’s are highly unpredictable especially since going test blind. They will consider all 3 of your UC GPA’s so please calculate and repost. UCSC should go into the Target Category. UCSB and UCI should in the High Target/Low Reach Category along with UCSD.
Here is the UC admit rate based on the capped weighted UC GPA and not major specific. CS is one of the most competitive majors at all the UC’s expect the admit rates to be much much lower than the overall posted.
| Campus | 4.20+ | 3.80-4.19 | 3.40-3.79 | 3.00-3.39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley | 30% | 11% | 2% | 1% |
| Davis | 85% | 55% | 23% | 10% |
| Irvine | 60% | 31% | 14% | 1% |
| Los Angeles | 29% | 6% | 1% | 0% |
| Merced | 97% | 98% | 96% | 89% |
| Riverside | 97% | 92% | 62% | 23% |
| San Diego | 72% | 25% | 2% | 0% |
| Santa Barbara | 73% | 28% | 4% | 1% |
| Santa Cruz | 91% | 81% | 46% | 9% |
Cal Poly SLO uses 9-11th grades in their GPA calculation with an 8 semester Honors point cap. CS had around a 9% acceptance rate for 2021 admits so Cal Poly SLO should go in the Reach category.
UCLA admit rate for CS in 2021 was 8.3%
UCB’s admit rate for the College of Engineering was around 7%. If applying for EECS, it was 4.5%
CS in the College of Letters and Sciences was 2.9%.
UCI’s 2021 admit rate for CS was 7.1%.
No admit rate data for CS at UCSB but historical data show around a 6-8% admit rate.
I see no true safety on your list. UCM as suggested should be applied to directly for CS since many ELC referrals will be locked out of the popular/competitive majors. UC Riverside or possibly Cal Poly Pomona, San Diego State, Cal State Long Beach and depending upon your impaction threshold San Jose State are good likely options.
You need to re-examine your list since it is very Reach heavy or you may be shut out.
Best of luck.