Thank you for the information. All the UC’s and Cal states on your list are well within Reach for an acceptance. UC’s tend to be very unpredictable and even more so since going test blind. Your UC PIQ’s and EC’s will help differentiate you from the rest of the qualified applicants.
I would also put UCSC in the Target category and even SDSU is not a guarantee unless you are local in-service area applicant.
As noted by @ucbalumnus, the ELC default campus has been UC Merced but the popular/competitive majors many times do not have space for all the ELC referrals. If you want to use UCM as a Safety, then I would apply directly.